The Core Problem We Solve
Traditional prediction markets are:| Problem | Impact |
|---|---|
| Anonymous | No identity, no reputation |
| Transactional | No social feedback |
| Financial-only | No progression, no fun |
| Isolated | No reason to return |
The Versus Solution
We layer social mechanics on top of prediction:Identity
Profiles, usernames, avatars. You’re a person, not a wallet.
Competition
Leaderboards, rankings, 1v1 challenges
Progression
XP, seasons, achievements, badges
Connection
Friends, parties, activity feeds
Layer Components
- Identity Layer
- Competition Layer
- Progression Layer
Who You Are
- Unique username and handle
- Custom avatar
- Profile bio
- Track record and history
- Badges and achievements
Your identity is persistent. Build a reputation that matters.
Why It Works
Identity → Retention
Identity → Retention
When you have a profile and reputation, you have something to protect. You come back.
Competition → Habit
Competition → Habit
When you’re competing against friends, every outcome matters. Prediction becomes daily.
Achievement → Loyalty
Achievement → Loyalty
XP, badges, and ranks give you reasons to stay engaged.
Social Graph → Network Effects
Social Graph → Network Effects
Engagement Data
Users with 5+ friends show 3x higher retention than solo users.
| User Type | 30-Day Retention |
|---|---|
| Solo (0 friends) | ~25% |
| Connected (1-4 friends) | ~55% |
| Social (5+ friends) | ~85% |
Technical Implementation
The Social Betting Layer is powered by:| Component | Technology |
|---|---|
| Identity | Privy authentication |
| Profiles | MongoDB storage |
| Real-time | Render backend services |
| Markets | Kalshi API integration |